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McHenry weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around McHenry and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

McHenry, IL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for McHenry right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

McHenry climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
21°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
47°
30°
Apr
59°
40°
May
71°
50°
Jun
81°
61°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
76°
60°
Oct
63°
48°
Nov
49°
36°
Dec
39°
27°

Which forecast is most accurate in McHenry?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F93±2.1 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in McHenry today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for McHenry today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in McHenry today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for McHenry and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for McHenry?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for McHenry (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in McHenry?
July is typically the warmest month in McHenry, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does McHenry get?
The coldest month in McHenry is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does McHenry get?
McHenry sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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