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The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Bowie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bowie hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Bowie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Bowie is a small town of about 5,126 people in Texas (TX), sitting at 33.6°N in a subtropical climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Bowie with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Bridgeport, Decatur, Sanger.
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°F
Around Bowie, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
13 fewer days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
8 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−5%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.7°F
−17
+2
+1%
1996
−0.9°F
+4
+16
+8%
1997
−2.2°F
+1
+11
−3%
1998
+1.6°F
+45
−9
+3%
1999
+1.4°F
+4
−19
+6%
2000
+0.5°F
+33
+9
+8%
2001
−0.4°F
−3
+4
−1%
2002
−1.7°F
−17
+6
−1%
2003
±0.0°F
−2
+7
−1%
2004
−0.9°F
−35
−1
−1%
2005
+0.3°F
+18
−12
−5%
2006
+2.1°F
+23
−14
+6%
2007
−1.7°F
−53
+18
−5%
2008
±0.0°F
+14
+1
+10%
2009
−0.6°F
+9
+1
+3%
2010
−1.1°F
−5
+12
−1%
2011
+2.5°F
+51
+6
+8%
2012
+1.9°F
+20
−16
−1%
2013
−0.6°F
+12
+15
+1%
2014
−0.8°F
+4
+5
+3%
2015
−1.5°F
−47
+6
−7%
2016
−0.4°F
−44
−5
−7%
2017
+0.9°F
−19
−19
−1%
2018
−0.8°F
+13
+12
−3%
2019
−1.3°F
−19
+5
−3%
2020
−0.4°F
−21
−14
−3%
2021
−0.4°F
−36
−15
−3%
2022
+1.4°F
+32
+14
+1%
2023
+2.5°F
+28
−16
−5%
2024
+2.1°F
−6
−22
−5%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Bowie, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F
97±1.1 mph
9396% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F
94±2.0 mph
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Common questions
What's the weather in Bowie today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bowie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bowie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bowie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bowie?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Bowie forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
Is Bowie getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Bowie, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.