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CheckWeather USWichita Falls
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Wichita Falls weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 101° in Wichita Falls today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 101°, with a 20% chance of rain.

101°77°
101°78°
101°78°
103°81°
104°81°
99°80°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
101°
Clear
Today 101°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
101°
Clear
Today 101°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Clear
Today 100°·Low 78°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wichita Falls and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
101° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
101° 78°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
101° 78°
models agree
Tue
Clear
103° 81°
models agree
Wed
Clear
104° 81°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
99° 80°
±11°
Fri
Mostly clear
104° 78°
±7°
Sat
Clear
104° 82°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
101° 77°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
94° 70°
±15°
Tue
Light drizzle
87° 71°
±18°
Wed
Partly cloudy
88° 70°
±13°
Thu
Clear
91° 69°
±12°
Fri
Clear
95° 72°
±7°

Wichita Falls, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 103°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 30 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wichita Falls right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wichita Falls climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
34°
Feb
62°
41°
Mar
69°
48°
Apr
77°
55°
May
84°
65°
Jun
93°
73°
Jul
98°
77°
Aug
103°
81°
Sep
93°
71°
Oct
83°
61°
Nov
67°
47°
Dec
60°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wichita Falls?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
93
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F94±2.0 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°100° to 101°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°99° to 102°±19%1% to 20% chance
Mon±1°100° to 102°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±4°101° to 105°±2%2% to 4% chance
Wed±7°101° to 108°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wichita Falls

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:54
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wichita Falls today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wichita Falls today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wichita Falls today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wichita Falls and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wichita Falls?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wichita Falls (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wichita Falls?
August is typically the warmest month in Wichita Falls, with average highs around 103°F.
How cold does Wichita Falls get?
The coldest month in Wichita Falls is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Wichita Falls get?
Wichita Falls sees roughly 30 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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