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CheckWeather USAurora
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Aurora weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 93° in Aurora today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 92°, with a 63% chance of rain.

93°65°
92°65°
88°65°
86°65°
83°63°
90°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Partly cloudy
Today 92°·Low 67°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Partly cloudy
Today 93°·Low 65°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Light drizzle
Today 93°·Low 65°·Rain 33%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Aurora and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
93° 65°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
92° 65°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
88° 65°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 65°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
83° 63°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
90° 63°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
89° 65°
models agree
Sat
Showers
78° 59°
±13°
Sun
Light drizzle
73° 56°
±10°
Mon
Partly cloudy
76° 53°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 57°
±9°
Wed
Clear
88° 58°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
89° 64°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
82° 66°
±4°

Aurora, CO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Aurora right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Aurora climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
14°
Feb
46°
19°
Mar
50°
24°
Apr
62°
35°
May
70°
45°
Jun
82°
56°
Jul
88°
60°
Aug
88°
61°
Sep
82°
53°
Oct
69°
42°
Nov
51°
27°
Dec
48°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Aurora?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F94±1.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F86±4.4 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°92° to 93°±28%5% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±3°90° to 93°±46%17% to 63% chance
Mon±4°86° to 90°±45%39% to 84% chance
Tue±4°84° to 88°±30%21% to 51% chance
Wed±7°80° to 88°±5%16% to 21% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Aurora

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Aurora today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Aurora today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Aurora today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Aurora and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aurora?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Aurora (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Aurora?
July is typically the warmest month in Aurora, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Aurora get?
The coldest month in Aurora is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Aurora get?
Aurora sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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