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CheckWeather UKWrexham
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Wrexham weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Wrexham's high today between 22° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 19°, with a 66% chance of rain.

23°12°
19°14°
16°11°
17°11°
18°
18°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Drizzle
Today 24°·Low 11°·Rain 74%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Wrexham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 12°
±3°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
19°
±5°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
19° 14°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
21° 11°
±5°
Tue
Light rain
18° 11°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
19°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17°
±7°

Wrexham, Wales is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1172 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Wrexham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Wrexham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Wrexham?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
63±2.0°C94±2.0 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
76
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C96±1.1 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°22° to 24°±2%74% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 19°±42%24% to 66% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±23%53% to 76% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±13%19% to 32% chance
Thu±2°17° to 19°±1%23% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wrexham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:49
Daylight
13h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wrexham today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Wrexham today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wrexham today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Wrexham and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wrexham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wrexham (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wrexham?
June is typically the warmest month in Wrexham, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Wrexham get?
The coldest month in Wrexham is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Wrexham get?
Wrexham sees roughly 1172 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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