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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Worcester weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Worcester today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 59% chance of rain.

15°7°
12°8°
16°8°
16°9°
15°9°
13°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
12°
Drizzle
Feels 8° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light rain
Feels 7° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 28 mph · Humidity 91%

Latest for Worcester: Met Office (UKMO model): 12° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 11° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Drizzle.

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Worcester weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for West Midlands…

Worcester weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Worcester swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 722 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 15 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 32 frost nights, and rain on 141 days.

Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
722 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
102,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
15 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
32 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
141 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Worcester’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Worcester and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Worcester hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Worcester 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
15° 7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
12° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
14° 7°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
13° 6°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
12° 6°
±2°
Mon
Partly cloudy
11° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
10° 5°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
9° 2°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 2°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
9° 2°
±4°

Worcester, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 722 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Worcester right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Worcester climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
10°
3°
Apr
13°
5°
May
17°
8°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Worcester has changed since 1995

Worcester sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Gloucester. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Gloucester page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Worcester?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C98±0.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
82
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C95±1.5 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C92±2.6 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°12° to 12°±34%25% to 59% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±10%90% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°±40%60% to 100% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±21%12% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Worcester

today, local time
Sunrise
07:49
Sunset
17:55
Daylight
10h 6m

Common questions

What's the weather in Worcester today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Worcester today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 59% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Worcester today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Worcester on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 33%, European 25%, American 59%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Worcester?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Worcester (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Met Office at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Worcester?
July is typically the warmest month in Worcester, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Worcester get?
The coldest month in Worcester is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Worcester get?
Worcester sees roughly 722 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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