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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Wolverhampton weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Wolverhampton today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 11°, with a 48% chance of rain.

14°6°
11°8°
15°7°
15°8°
14°7°
12°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
14°
Rain
Today 14°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light rain
Today 14°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light rain
Today 15°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
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Wolverhampton weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for West Midlands…

Wolverhampton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Wolverhampton swings 18°C across the year, from 20°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 780 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 11 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 35 frost nights, and rain on 149 days.

Warmest month
August
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
780 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
264,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
11 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
35 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
149 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Wolverhampton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Wolverhampton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wolverhampton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wolverhampton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
14° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 8°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
13° 7°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
12° 5°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 5°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
10° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
9° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
7° 1°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
8° 2°
±4°

Wolverhampton, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Wolverhampton right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Wolverhampton's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Wolverhampton weather by month

what to expect in Wolverhampton through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Wolverhampton's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Wolverhampton by season.

Jan
7°
2°
Cold
Feb
7°
2°
Cold
Mar
9°
3°
Cool
Apr
12°
5°
Cool
May
15°
7°
Mild
Jun
19°
10°
Mild
Jul
19°
12°
Mild
Aug
20°
12°
Mild
Sep
17°
9°
Mild
Oct
13°
7°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
9°
4°
Cool
Dec
7°
3°
Cold

What Wolverhampton's weather is like through the year

Wolverhampton runs from warm summers, with August highs near 20°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Wolverhampton sees roughly 780 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Wolverhampton

The most comfortable time to visit Wolverhampton is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

How the weather around Wolverhampton has changed since 1995

Wolverhampton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Birmingham. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Birmingham page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wolverhampton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.0 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C87±3.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Wolverhampton, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 86. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree10° to 11°±23%25% to 48% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±8%92% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±52%48% to 100% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°±21%12% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wolverhampton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:50
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
10h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wolverhampton today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Wolverhampton today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 11°, with a 48% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Wolverhampton today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Wolverhampton on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 33%, European 25%, American 48%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wolverhampton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wolverhampton (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wolverhampton?
August is typically the warmest month in Wolverhampton, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Wolverhampton get?
The coldest month in Wolverhampton is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Wolverhampton get?
Wolverhampton sees roughly 780 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Wolverhampton?
The most comfortable time to visit Wolverhampton is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Wolverhampton?
Rarely - Wolverhampton very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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