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CheckWeather UK›Welwyn Garden City
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Welwyn Garden City weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Welwyn Garden City today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain.

15°6°
12°8°
16°7°
16°9°
14°8°
12°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
15°
Rain
Today 15°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Rain
Today 14°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Rain
Today 15°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
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Welwyn Garden City weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

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Welwyn Garden City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Welwyn Garden City swings 21°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 1°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 648 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 19 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 30 frost nights, and rain on 133 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
November
648 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
52,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
19 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
30 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
133 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Welwyn Garden City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Welwyn Garden City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Welwyn Garden City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Welwyn Garden City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
15° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
12° 8°
±2°
Mon
Drizzle
16° 7°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
14° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 8°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
14° 8°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
11° 7°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
11° 5°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
12° 7°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
10° 4°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 2°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
9° 1°
±3°

Welwyn Garden City, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 648 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Welwyn Garden City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Welwyn Garden City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
10°
3°
Apr
13°
5°
May
16°
8°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
19°
10°
Oct
15°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Welwyn Garden City has changed since 1995

Welwyn Garden City sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Cambridge. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Cambridge page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Welwyn Garden City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C90±3.2 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C97±1.0 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°±37%63% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±16%84% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±53%47% to 100% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Welwyn Garden City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:40
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
10h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Welwyn Garden City today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Welwyn Garden City today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Welwyn Garden City today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Welwyn Garden City on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 63% (Met Office 67%, European 63%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Welwyn Garden City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Welwyn Garden City (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Welwyn Garden City?
August is typically the warmest month in Welwyn Garden City, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Welwyn Garden City get?
The coldest month in Welwyn Garden City is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Welwyn Garden City get?
Welwyn Garden City sees roughly 648 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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