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Every UK forecast, compared
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CheckWeather UKWales

Wales weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Wales and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Wales is a small town of about 5,956 people in England, sitting at 53.3°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Wales with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Kiveton Park, Killamarsh, Beighton.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wales?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
88
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±1.5 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C97±1.1 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Wales today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Wales today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wales today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Wales and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wales?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wales (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Met Office at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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