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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Tadley weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Tadley today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 19°, with a 100% chance of rain.

22°16°
19°13°
19°11°
19°11°
22°14°
21°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agreeSaturdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
14°
Drizzle
Feels 13° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Drizzle
Feels 13° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Light drizzle
Feels 12° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 86%

Latest for Tadley: Met Office (UKMO model): 14° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 15° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Light drizzle.

Tadley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Tadley swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 924 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
924 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
16,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Tadley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
21° 11°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
22° 14°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17° 10°
±2°
Sat
Partly cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
20° 11°
models agree

Tadley, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 924 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Tadley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Tadley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
16°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Tadley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
89
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C97±0.9 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C90±3.1 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 23°±10%19% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±3°18° to 21°±12%88% to 100% chance
Wed±1°18° to 20°±6%0% to 6% chance
Thu±4°17° to 21°±34%10% to 44% chance
Fri±2°21° to 23°±5%39% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tadley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
13h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tadley today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Tadley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tadley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Tadley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tadley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tadley (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tadley?
June is typically the warmest month in Tadley, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Tadley get?
The coldest month in Tadley is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Tadley get?
Tadley sees roughly 924 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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