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CheckWeather UKStratford-upon-Avon
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Stratford-upon-Avon weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Stratford-upon-Avon's high today between 24° and 27°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 21°, with a 39% chance of rain.

26°13°
21°16°
18°11°
19°10°
18°11°
21°13°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±2°
Met OfficeUKMO model
27°
Light drizzle
Today 27°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Drizzle
Today 26°·Low 13°·Rain 45%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Stratford-upon-Avon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
26° 13°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21° 13°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
20°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 13°
±2°
Tue
Light rain
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
19° 10°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
20°
±8°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
17° 12°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
18°
±5°

Stratford-upon-Avon, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 927 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Stratford-upon-Avon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Stratford-upon-Avon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Stratford-upon-Avon?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C92±2.4 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
87
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C96±1.4 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°24° to 27°±20%45% to 65% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±23%16% to 39% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±23%49% to 72% chance
Wed±1°18° to 19°±7%6% to 13% chance
Thumodels agree18° to 18°±11%18% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stratford-upon-Avon

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stratford-upon-Avon today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Stratford-upon-Avon today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stratford-upon-Avon today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Stratford-upon-Avon and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stratford-upon-Avon?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stratford-upon-Avon (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stratford-upon-Avon?
June is typically the warmest month in Stratford-upon-Avon, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Stratford-upon-Avon get?
The coldest month in Stratford-upon-Avon is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Stratford-upon-Avon get?
Stratford-upon-Avon sees roughly 927 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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