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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Selby weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Selby today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°6°
11°9°
16°8°
16°10°
14°9°
13°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
10°
Light drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Light drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 23 mph · Humidity 85%

Latest for Selby: Met Office (UKMO model): 10° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 9° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Light drizzle.

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Selby weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Yorkshire & Humber

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Selby weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Selby swings 20°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 1°C lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 629 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 11 days a year at 25°C or above, 32 frost nights, and rain on 144 days.

Warmest month
August
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
August
629 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and September
Residents
25,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
11 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
32 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
144 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Selby’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Selby and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Selby hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Selby 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
13° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
14° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 7°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
12° 7°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
12° 6°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
9° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
9° 3°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
9° 1°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
8° 1°
±5°

Selby, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 629 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Selby right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Selby climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
1°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
10°
3°
Apr
13°
5°
May
15°
7°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
14°
7°
Nov
10°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Selby has changed since 1995

Selby sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Leeds. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Leeds page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Selby?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C98±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C93±2.3 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
72
/100rank #3
94±0.3°C96±1.3 mph2961% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 12°±72%28% to 100% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±10%90% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°±28%39% to 67% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°±54%13% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Selby

today, local time
Sunrise
07:48
Sunset
17:47
Daylight
9h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Selby today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Selby today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Selby today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Selby on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 100%, European 92%, American 28%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Selby?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Selby (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Selby?
August is typically the warmest month in Selby, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Selby get?
The coldest month in Selby is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Selby get?
Selby sees roughly 629 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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