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CheckWeather UKScarborough
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Scarborough weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Scarborough's high today between 20° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 19°, with a 38% chance of rain.

21°12°
19°15°
16°11°
16°11°
18°10°
19°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Drizzle
Today 21°·Low 12°·Rain 60%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Scarborough and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 15°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
18° 10°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
18° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
17° 11°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
18° 10°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±3°

Scarborough, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 935 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Scarborough right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Scarborough climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
14°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
17°
12°
Oct
14°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Scarborough?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C94±1.7 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
80
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C95±1.4 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
74±1.5°C90±3.0 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 23°±16%60% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 20°±25%13% to 38% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±14%45% to 59% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±3%14% to 17% chance
Thumodels agree18° to 18°±3%17% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Scarborough

today, local time
Sunrise
06:18
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Scarborough today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Scarborough today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Scarborough today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Scarborough and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Scarborough?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Scarborough (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the European at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Scarborough?
July is typically the warmest month in Scarborough, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Scarborough get?
The coldest month in Scarborough is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Scarborough get?
Scarborough sees roughly 935 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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