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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Royston weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 26° in Royston today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 14% chance of rain.

26°13°
22°17°
19°13°
18°11°
19°10°
21°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
27°
Light drizzle
Today 27°·Low 11°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 27%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain 26%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Royston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
26° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19° 10°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
22° 10°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
23° 16°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
24° 13°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
20° 11°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 11°
±9°
Fri
Light rain
17° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±5°

Royston, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 839 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Royston right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Royston climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
16°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.0 mph8793% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C96±1.3 mph7586% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C93±2.3 mph7586% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 27°±1%26% to 27% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°models agree14% to 14% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°±15%43% to 58% chance
Wed±2°18° to 19°±3%3% to 6% chance
Thu±3°18° to 20°±13%12% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Royston

today, local time
Sunrise
06:20
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
13h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Royston today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Royston today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Royston today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Royston and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Royston?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Royston forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested UK accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Royston?
August is typically the warmest month in Royston, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Royston get?
The coldest month in Royston is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Royston get?
Royston sees roughly 839 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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