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Royal Leamington Spa weekend weather

This weekend in Royal Leamington Spa, England, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 9° across the weekend. Agreement is medium - plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Sat

2026-11-07 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Light drizzle
High 9°·Low 5°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Light drizzle
High 10°·Low 6°·Rain 18%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Drizzle
High 11°·Low 7°·Rain 14%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-11-08 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
7°
Fog
High 7°·Low 3°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Cloudy
High 9°·Low 3°·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Cloudy
High 10°·Low 5°·Rain 10%

The models range from 7° to 10°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 12°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 11°models agree0% to 0% chance
Fri±1°9° to 10°±14%19% to 33% chance
Sat±1°9° to 11°±19%14% to 33% chance
Sun±3°7° to 10°±23%10% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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