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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Rawtenstall weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Rawtenstall today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°6°
9°7°
15°6°
15°8°
12°8°
12°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Rain
Feels 4° · Wind 21 mph · Humidity 96%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Rain
Feels 3° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Light rain
Feels 2° · Wind 30 mph · Humidity 95%

Latest for Rawtenstall: Met Office (UKMO model): 9° Rain · European (ECMWF): 8° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Light rain.

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Rawtenstall weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Rawtenstall weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Rawtenstall swings 17°C across the year, from 17°C highs in July to 0°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1412 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 45 frost nights, and rain on 205 days.

Warmest month
July
17°C average high
Coldest month
January
0°C average low
Wettest month
October
1412 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
23,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
45 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
205 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Rawtenstall’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Rawtenstall and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rawtenstall hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rawtenstall 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
13° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
9° 7°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15° 6°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 8°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
11° 5°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
9° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
7° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
7° 1°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
7° 2°
±5°

Rawtenstall, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 0°C), with roughly 1412 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Rawtenstall right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Rawtenstall climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
5°
0°
Feb
5°
1°
Mar
7°
1°
Apr
10°
4°
May
13°
6°
Jun
16°
8°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
15°
9°
Oct
11°
6°
Nov
8°
3°
Dec
5°
1°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Rawtenstall has changed since 1995

Rawtenstall sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Manchester. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Manchester page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rawtenstall?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C88±3.8 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C97±1.1 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°8° to 10°±33%67% to 100% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±3%97% to 100% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±27%73% to 100% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±41%59% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rawtenstall

today, local time
Sunrise
07:53
Sunset
17:52
Daylight
9h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rawtenstall today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Rawtenstall today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Rawtenstall today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Rawtenstall on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 67% (Met Office 67%, European 100%, American 94%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rawtenstall?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rawtenstall (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rawtenstall?
July is typically the warmest month in Rawtenstall, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Rawtenstall get?
The coldest month in Rawtenstall is January, when overnight lows average about 0°C.
How much rain does Rawtenstall get?
Rawtenstall sees roughly 1412 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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