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CheckWeather UKPoulton-le-Fylde
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Poulton-le-Fylde weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Poulton-le-Fylde today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 18°, with a 94% chance of rain.

22°13°
18°15°
15°13°
16°13°
18°13°
17°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
23°
Heavy drizzle
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Drizzle
Today 21°·Low 13°·Rain 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Light rain
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 94%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Poulton-le-Fylde and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
18° 15°
models agree
Tue
Rain
15° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 13°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
17° 14°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
17° 11°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
18° 15°
±2°
Mon
Drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
17° 13°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
16° 11°
±4°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
18° 10°
±6°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
15° 10°
±3°

Poulton-le-Fylde is a small town of about 20,000 people in England, sitting at 53.8°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Poulton-le-Fylde with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Fylde, Blackpool, Thornton-Cleveleys.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Poulton-le-Fylde?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C97±0.9 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C97±1.0 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C91±2.8 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±8%86% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°±27%67% to 94% chance
Tuemodels agree15° to 16°±27%71% to 98% chance
Wed±1°16° to 16°±1%64% to 65% chance
Thu±1°17° to 18°±1%63% to 64% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Poulton-le-Fylde

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
19:50
Daylight
13h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Poulton-le-Fylde today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Poulton-le-Fylde today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Poulton-le-Fylde today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Poulton-le-Fylde and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Poulton-le-Fylde?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Poulton-le-Fylde (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Met Office at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

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