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CheckWeather UKPotters Bar
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Potters Bar weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 25° in Potters Bar today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 10% chance of rain.

25°13°
22°16°
19°13°
19°11°
18°11°
21°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°Fridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 72%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Partly cloudy
Feels 17° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light drizzle
Feels 16° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 68%

Latest for Potters Bar: Met Office (UKMO model): 18° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 18° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Potters Bar and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
25° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 11°
±2°
Fri
Drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 10°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 13°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
20° 11°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±9°
Fri
Light rain
18° 13°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±5°

Potters Bar, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 887 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Potters Bar right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Potters Bar climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
16°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Potters Bar?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±0.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C97±0.9 mph5374% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C91±2.7 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 25°±3%19% to 22% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 22°models agree10% to 10% chance
Tue±2°19° to 20°±14%47% to 61% chance
Wed±1°19° to 19°±1%3% to 4% chance
Thu±2°17° to 20°±9%14% to 23% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Potters Bar

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
13h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Potters Bar today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Potters Bar today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Potters Bar today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Potters Bar and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Potters Bar?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Potters Bar (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Potters Bar?
August is typically the warmest month in Potters Bar, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Potters Bar get?
The coldest month in Potters Bar is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Potters Bar get?
Potters Bar sees roughly 887 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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