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CheckWeather UKOrmskirk
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Ormskirk weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Ormskirk's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 18°, with a 85% chance of rain.

23°13°
18°15°
15°13°
16°13°
18°12°
16°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Heavy drizzle
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Heavy drizzle
Today 21°·Low 13°·Rain 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Showers
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 90%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Ormskirk and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
23° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
18° 15°
models agree
Tue
Rain
15° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 14°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
17° 12°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
18° 15°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
19° 14°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
17° 13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17° 11°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 11°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
16° 10°
±3°

Ormskirk, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1419 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Ormskirk right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Ormskirk climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
18°
13°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
14°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Ormskirk?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C92±2.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±1.6 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±2%88% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±33%52% to 85% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±19%77% to 96% chance
Wedmodels agree16° to 16°±3%70% to 73% chance
Thumodels agree18° to 18°±2%49% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ormskirk

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
19:50
Daylight
13h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ormskirk today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Ormskirk today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ormskirk today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Ormskirk and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ormskirk?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ormskirk (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ormskirk?
June is typically the warmest month in Ormskirk, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Ormskirk get?
The coldest month in Ormskirk is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Ormskirk get?
Ormskirk sees roughly 1419 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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