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Olney weather

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Olney weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East of England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East of England…

Olney weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Olney swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 659 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 18 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 30 frost nights, and rain on 134 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
659 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
6,477
share this forecast
Most accurate here
Met Office
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
18 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
30 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
134 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Olney’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Olney and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Olney hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Olney 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Olney, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 659 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Olney right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Olney climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
10°
3°
Apr
13°
5°
May
16°
8°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Olney has changed since 1995

Olney sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Milton Keynes. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Milton Keynes page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Olney?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.8 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
89
/100rank #2
96±0.2°C97±0.8 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C94±2.0 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Olney today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Olney today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Olney today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Olney and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Olney?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Olney (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Olney?
August is typically the warmest month in Olney, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Olney get?
The coldest month in Olney is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Olney get?
Olney sees roughly 659 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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