Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Mendip today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 10°, with a 97% chance of rain.
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Mendip weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Mendip swings 18°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 1°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1207 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 6 days a year at 25°C or above, 40 frost nights, and rain on 161 days.
Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
1207 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
110,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
6 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
40 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
161 days
a year with 1 mm or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Mendip’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Met Office, European, American side by side around Mendip and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mendip hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Mendip 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
14°7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
10°7°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15°7°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14°8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°7°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12°6°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
13°7°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
12°5°
models agree
Sun
Clear
10°4°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
10°4°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
9°4°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
7°1°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
6°1°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
8°1°
±3°
Mendip, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1207 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Mendip right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
1°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
8°
2°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
7°
Jun
17°
9°
Jul
18°
11°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
2°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Mendip's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C
Around Mendip, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2022.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
5 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
7 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.3°C
+27
+11
−0%
1996
−1.3°C
−5
+27
−0%
1997
+0.1°C
+1
−4
−2%
1998
−0.1°C
−8
−5
+6%
1999
+0.1°C
−1
−15
+2%
2000
−0.2°C
−8
−4
+4%
2001
−0.4°C
−3
+10
−4%
2002
+0.2°C
−12
−20
+4%
2003
±0.0°C
+13
+4
−2%
2004
±0.0°C
−4
−6
−2%
2005
+0.1°C
+3
+10
−2%
2006
+0.4°C
+11
+17
+2%
2007
+0.2°C
−12
−9
+2%
2008
−0.5°C
−10
+7
+6%
2009
−0.3°C
−7
+4
−0%
2010
−1.4°C
−8
+44
−8%
2011
+0.4°C
−7
−4
+2%
2012
−0.6°C
−9
+2
−2%
2013
−0.7°C
+8
+28
+2%
2014
+0.5°C
−6
−20
−2%
2015
±0.0°C
−8
−6
+8%
2016
−0.1°C
−1
−3
−4%
2017
+0.3°C
+1
−8
−2%
2018
+0.5°C
+27
−2
−2%
2019
+0.1°C
−2
−15
−2%
2020
+0.5°C
+4
−18
+6%
2021
±0.0°C
−1
+11
−4%
2022
+1.1°C
+28
−8
−4%
2023
+0.8°C
−1
−2
−0%
2024
+0.6°C
−2
−19
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Mendip, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Mendip?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C
95±1.5 mph
8994% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office
90
/100rank #2
95±0.3°C
94±1.7 mph
8290% hit
Met Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American
81
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C
96±1.3 mph
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±1°14° to 14°
models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow
±1°10° to 11°
±30%67% to 97% chance
Mon
±1°15° to 16°
±6%94% to 100% chance
Tue
±1°14° to 14°
±38%62% to 100% chance
Wed
±1°13° to 13°
±48%19% to 67% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Mendip
today, local time
Sunrise
07:49
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
10h 10m
Common questions
What's the weather in Mendip today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Mendip today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 10°, with a 97% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Mendip today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Mendip on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 67% (Met Office 67%, European 89%, American 97%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mendip?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mendip (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mendip?
August is typically the warmest month in Mendip, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Mendip get?
The coldest month in Mendip is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Mendip get?
Mendip sees roughly 1207 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Mendip getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Mendip, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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