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CheckWeather UKMelksham
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Melksham weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 26° in Melksham today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 23% chance of rain.

26°13°
20°16°
19°12°
18°11°
18°11°
21°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
26°
Light drizzle
Today 26°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Drizzle
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 73%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Light drizzle
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain 39%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Melksham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
26° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
22° 15°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±4°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
20° 10°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±8°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±7°

Melksham is a small town of about 19,000 people in England, sitting at 51.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Melksham with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Neston, Corsham, Trowbridge.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Melksham?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C98±0.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
88
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±1.4 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C91±2.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°24° to 26°±34%39% to 73% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±5%18% to 23% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±12%63% to 75% chance
Wed±2°18° to 19°±7%3% to 10% chance
Thu±2°17° to 19°±6%20% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Melksham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
19:44
Daylight
13h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Melksham today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Melksham today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Melksham today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Melksham and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Melksham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Melksham (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Met Office at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More UK weather