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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Lees weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Lees today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°6°
9°7°
15°6°
15°8°
12°8°
12°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
12°
Rain
Today 12°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Rain
Today 13°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
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Lees weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Lees weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lees swings 18°C across the year, from 18°C highs in August to 0°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1477 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 4 days a year at 25°C or above, 38 frost nights, and rain on 205 days.

Warmest month
August
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
0°C average low
Wettest month
October
1477 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
4 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
38 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
205 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lees’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Lees and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lees hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lees 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
13° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
9° 7°
models agree
Mon
Rain
15° 6°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12° 8°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
11° 5°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
10° 5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
9° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
6° 1°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
7° 1°
±4°

Lees, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 0°C), with roughly 1477 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Lees right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Lees climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
5°
0°
Feb
6°
1°
Mar
8°
2°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
7°
Jun
17°
9°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
18°
11°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
12°
7°
Nov
8°
4°
Dec
6°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lees has changed since 1995

Lees sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Oldham. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Oldham page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lees?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C97±1.0 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C85±4.6 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°8° to 10°±13%87% to 100% chance
Monmodels agree14° to 15°±6%94% to 100% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±26%62% to 88% chance
Wed±2°12° to 13°±56%44% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lees

today, local time
Sunrise
07:52
Sunset
17:51
Daylight
9h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lees today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Lees today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Lees today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Lees on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 87% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 87%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lees?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lees (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Met Office at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lees?
August is typically the warmest month in Lees, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Lees get?
The coldest month in Lees is January, when overnight lows average about 0°C.
How much rain does Lees get?
Lees sees roughly 1477 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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