Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather UKLake District

Lake District weather

Loading live data…

Lake District weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Lake District weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lake District swings 16°C across the year, from 17°C highs in June to 1°C lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2285 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 40 frost nights, and rain on 207 days.

Warmest month
June
17°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
March
2285 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
40 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
207 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lake District’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Lake District and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Lake District hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Lake District 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Lake District, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 2285 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Lake District right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Lake District climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
10°
May
16°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
16°
11°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Lake District?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C93±2.0 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #3
71±1.6°C96±1.3 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lake District today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Lake District today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lake District today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Lake District and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lake District?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lake District (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lake District?
June is typically the warmest month in Lake District, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Lake District get?
The coldest month in Lake District is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Lake District get?
Lake District sees roughly 2285 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More UK weather