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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Kirkintilloch weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Kirkintilloch's high today between 10° and 13°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

11°3°
10°7°
15°6°
15°8°
12°8°
12°9°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Light rain
Feels 4° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 88%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Rain
Feels 5° · Wind 16 mph · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Rain
Feels 4° · Wind 22 mph · Humidity 90%

Latest for Kirkintilloch: Met Office (UKMO model): 9° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 9° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Rain.

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Kirkintilloch weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Strathclyde

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Strathclyde…

Kirkintilloch weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kirkintilloch swings 17°C across the year, from 17°C highs in June to 0°C lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1463 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 53 frost nights, and rain on 202 days.

Warmest month
June
17°C average high
Coldest month
February
0°C average low
Wettest month
January
1463 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
20,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
53 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
202 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kirkintilloch’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Kirkintilloch and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kirkintilloch hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kirkintilloch 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
11° 3°
±2°
Tomorrow
Rain
10° 7°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12° 8°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
12° 9°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
11° 6°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
9° 7°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 4°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
7° 2°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
6° 1°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
6° 2°
±5°

Kirkintilloch, Scotland is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 0°C), with roughly 1463 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Kirkintilloch right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Kirkintilloch climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
1°
Feb
6°
0°
Mar
8°
2°
Apr
11°
3°
May
14°
6°
Jun
17°
8°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
15°
8°
Oct
11°
6°
Nov
8°
3°
Dec
6°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kirkintilloch has changed since 1995

Kirkintilloch sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Glasgow. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Glasgow page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kirkintilloch?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±1.4 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C96±1.3 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 13°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 15°±6%94% to 100% chance
Wed±3°10° to 13°±35%65% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kirkintilloch

today, local time
Sunrise
08:06
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
9h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kirkintilloch today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model put Kirkintilloch's high today between 10° and 13°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kirkintilloch today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Kirkintilloch on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kirkintilloch?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kirkintilloch (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kirkintilloch?
June is typically the warmest month in Kirkintilloch, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Kirkintilloch get?
The coldest month in Kirkintilloch is February, when overnight lows average about 0°C.
How much rain does Kirkintilloch get?
Kirkintilloch sees roughly 1463 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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