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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Islington weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Islington today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°7°
14°9°
16°9°
16°10°
15°9°
13°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Drizzle
Feels 8° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light drizzle
Feels 8° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 85%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Light drizzle
Feels 8° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 83%

Latest for Islington: Met Office (UKMO model): 11° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 11° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Light drizzle.

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Islington weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Islington weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Islington swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 666 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 21 days a year at 25°C or above, 4 of them at 30°C or above, 27 frost nights, and rain on 133 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
666 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
319,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
21 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
27 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
133 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Islington’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Islington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Islington hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Islington 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14° 9°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
15° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 9°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
14° 9°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12° 8°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
12° 7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
11° 6°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
13° 7°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 5°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 4°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
10° 3°
models agree

Islington, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Islington right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Islington's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Islington weather by month

what to expect in Islington through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Islington's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Islington by season.

Jan
8°
2°
Cool
Feb
9°
2°
Cool
Mar
10°
4°
Cool
Apr
13°
6°
Cool
May
17°
8°
Mild
Jun
21°
10°
Mild
Jul
21°
13°
Mild
Aug
22°
13°
Warm
Sep
19°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
7°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
11°
5°
Cool
Dec
8°
3°
Cool

What Islington's weather is like through the year

Islington runs from warm summers, with August highs near 22°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Islington sees roughly 666 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Islington

The most comfortable time to visit Islington is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

How the weather around Islington has changed since 1995

Islington sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as London. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the London page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Islington?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
88
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.0 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C96±1.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Islington, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 88. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°13° to 15°±67%33% to 100% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±25%75% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±59%41% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 16°±33%0% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Islington

today, local time
Sunrise
07:39
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
10h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Islington today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Islington today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Islington today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Islington on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 33%, European 92%, American 100%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Islington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Islington (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Islington?
August is typically the warmest month in Islington, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Islington get?
The coldest month in Islington is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Islington get?
Islington sees roughly 666 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Islington?
The most comfortable time to visit Islington is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Islington?
Rarely - Islington very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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