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CheckWeather UKIrlam
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Irlam weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Irlam's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 19°, with a 92% chance of rain.

23°13°
19°15°
16°12°
17°12°
18°11°
18°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Drizzle
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 12°·Rain 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Heavy drizzle
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 57%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Irlam and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
23° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Tue
Rain
16° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 10°
±5°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
19° 14°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
17° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17° 11°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
17° 10°
±5°

Irlam is a small town of about 19,000 people in England, sitting at 53.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Irlam with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Partington, Urmston, Culcheth.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Irlam?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C98±0.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C96±1.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
78
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C94±1.8 mph5374% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±21%57% to 78% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±51%41% to 92% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°±16%78% to 94% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±4%57% to 61% chance
Thu±1°17° to 19°±1%45% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Irlam

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Irlam today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Irlam today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Irlam today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Irlam and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Irlam?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Irlam (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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