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CheckWeather UKHornchurch
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Hornchurch weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 26° in Hornchurch today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 12% chance of rain.

26°14°
24°18°
20°15°
20°12°
20°12°
22°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 13°·Rain 18%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 15°·Rain 16%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Hornchurch and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
26° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 15°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 11°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 16°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
24° 15°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 16°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
±8°
Fri
Light rain
19° 14°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±4°

Hornchurch, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 847 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Hornchurch right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Hornchurch climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
11°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
18°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
21°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hornchurch?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
91
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C96±1.2 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C94±2.0 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree26° to 26°±2%16% to 18% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree24° to 24°±2%10% to 12% chance
Tue±2°19° to 22°±13%44% to 57% chance
Wed±1°19° to 21°±1%3% to 4% chance
Thu±4°18° to 22°±5%10% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hornchurch

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
19:35
Daylight
13h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hornchurch today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Hornchurch today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hornchurch today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Hornchurch and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hornchurch?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hornchurch (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Met Office at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hornchurch?
August is typically the warmest month in Hornchurch, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Hornchurch get?
The coldest month in Hornchurch is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Hornchurch get?
Hornchurch sees roughly 847 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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