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CheckWeather UK›Holywell

Holywell weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 85%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 90%

Latest for Holywell: Met Office (UKMO model): 11° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 11° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Heavy drizzle.

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Holywell weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Wales

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Wales…

Holywell weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Holywell swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1005 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 6 days a year at 25°C or above, 22 frost nights, and rain on 183 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
1005 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
6,969
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
6 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
22 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
183 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Holywell’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Holywell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Holywell hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Holywell 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Holywell, Wales is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1005 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Holywell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Holywell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
7°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Holywell has changed since 1995

Holywell sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Liverpool. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Liverpool page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Holywell?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C95±1.7 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C96±1.2 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Holywell today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Holywell today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Holywell today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Holywell and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Holywell?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Holywell (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Holywell?
August is typically the warmest month in Holywell, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Holywell get?
The coldest month in Holywell is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Holywell get?
Holywell sees roughly 1005 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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