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Hereford weekend weather

This weekend in Hereford, England, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 24° across the weekend. Agreement is medium — plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Cloudy
High 22°·Low 10°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Partly cloudy
High 23°·Low 10°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Cloudy
High 25°·Low ·Rain 0%

The models range from 22° to 25°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
25°
Cloudy
High 25°·Low ·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Light drizzle
High 23°·Low 11°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
27°
Cloudy
High 27°·Low ·Rain 0%

The models range from 23° to 27°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 25°±12%7% to 19% chance
Tomorrow±3°21° to 24°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sat±3°22° to 25°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±4°23° to 27°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±5°25° to 30°±19%6% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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