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CheckWeather UKHenley-on-Thames
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Henley-on-Thames weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 26° in Henley-on-Thames today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 13% chance of rain.

26°12°
22°16°
20°13°
19°11°
19°11°
21°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±2°
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 85%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Partly cloudy
Feels 18° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 76%

Latest for Henley-on-Thames: Met Office (UKMO model): 17° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 18° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Henley-on-Thames and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
26° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
19° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
22° 10°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 13°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±2°
Wed
Light rain
21° 11°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
22° 11°
±9°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
19° 13°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
±6°

Henley-on-Thames, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 942 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Henley-on-Thames right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Henley-on-Thames climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Henley-on-Thames?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C97±1.0 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
64±2.0°C89±3.5 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree26° to 26°±3%23% to 26% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±1%12% to 13% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±24%47% to 71% chance
Wed±1°19° to 20°±1%3% to 4% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±4%15% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Henley-on-Thames

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
13h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Henley-on-Thames today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Henley-on-Thames today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Henley-on-Thames today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Henley-on-Thames and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Henley-on-Thames?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Henley-on-Thames (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Henley-on-Thames?
June is typically the warmest month in Henley-on-Thames, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Henley-on-Thames get?
The coldest month in Henley-on-Thames is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Henley-on-Thames get?
Henley-on-Thames sees roughly 942 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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