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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Haxby weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Haxby today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°5°
11°8°
16°8°
16°9°
14°9°
13°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
12°
Rain
Today 12°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Heavy drizzle
Today 12°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Light rain
Today 14°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
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Haxby weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Yorkshire & Humber

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Yorkshire & Humber…

Haxby weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Haxby swings 19°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to 1°C lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 658 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 9 days a year at 25°C or above, 37 frost nights, and rain on 149 days.

Warmest month
July
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
August
658 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and September
Residents
12,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
99/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
9 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
37 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
149 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Haxby’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Haxby and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Haxby hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Haxby 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
13° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
14° 9°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
13° 7°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
12° 7°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
12° 6°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
9° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° 2°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 1°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
8° 0°
±5°

Haxby, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 658 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Haxby right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Haxby climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
1°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
12°
5°
May
15°
7°
Jun
18°
9°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
20°
12°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Haxby has changed since 1995

Haxby sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Leeds. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Leeds page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Haxby?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
99
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
82
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C96±1.3 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C92±2.6 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 11°±71%29% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±12%88% to 100% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°±55%45% to 100% chance
Wed±3°12° to 15°±51%16% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Haxby

today, local time
Sunrise
07:49
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
9h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Haxby today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Haxby today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Haxby today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Haxby on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 100%, European 99%, American 29%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Haxby?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Haxby (CheckWeather Score 99/100), ahead of the Met Office at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Haxby?
July is typically the warmest month in Haxby, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Haxby get?
The coldest month in Haxby is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Haxby get?
Haxby sees roughly 658 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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