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CheckWeather UKHartley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Hartley weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 25° in Hartley today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 24°, with a 12% chance of rain.

25°13°
24°17°
19°14°
20°12°
20°12°
22°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 18%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 16%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Hartley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
25° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 14°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 11°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 15°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 14°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
22° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
±9°
Fri
Light rain
18° 13°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 12°
±3°

Hartley, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 855 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Hartley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Hartley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
20°
13°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Hartley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±1.7 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C94±1.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C96±1.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 25°±2%16% to 18% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±2%10% to 12% chance
Tue±3°19° to 21°±13%44% to 57% chance
Wed±1°19° to 20°±1%3% to 4% chance
Thu±4°17° to 21°±5%10% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hartley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
19:34
Daylight
13h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hartley today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Hartley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hartley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Hartley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hartley?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Hartley (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hartley?
August is typically the warmest month in Hartley, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Hartley get?
The coldest month in Hartley is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Hartley get?
Hartley sees roughly 855 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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