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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Hale weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Hale today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°7°
11°8°
16°8°
16°9°
15°9°
13°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
14°
Rain
Today 14°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Rain
Today 13°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Rain
Today 15°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
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Hale weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Hale weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Hale swings 19°C across the year, from 20°C highs in August to 1°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1060 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 10 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 32 frost nights, and rain on 180 days.

Warmest month
August
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
1060 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
17,000
share this forecast
Warm days
10 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
32 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
180 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Hale’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Hale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
14° 7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Thu
Fog
13° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12° 6°
±3°
Sun
Mostly clear
11° 7°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
10° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
9° 5°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
7° 2°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
8° 3°
±4°

Hale, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1060 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Hale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Hale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
1°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
10°
3°
Apr
13°
5°
May
16°
7°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
20°
13°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
10°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Hale has changed since 1995

Hale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Manchester. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Manchester page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.0 mph8793% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C95±1.5 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C93±2.1 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°13° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 11°±6%94% to 100% chance
Mon±1°16° to 16°±6%94% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°±15%67% to 82% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±51%49% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hale

today, local time
Sunrise
07:52
Sunset
17:53
Daylight
10h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hale today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Hale today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Hale today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Hale on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 94% (Met Office 100%, European 96%, American 94%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hale?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Hale forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested UK accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Hale?
August is typically the warmest month in Hale, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Hale get?
The coldest month in Hale is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Hale get?
Hale sees roughly 1060 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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