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CheckWeather UK›Falmouth
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Falmouth weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Falmouth today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°10°
13°10°
17°11°
16°10°
15°10°
14°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
15°
Light rain
Feels 10° · Wind 27 mph · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light rain
Feels 10° · Wind 24 mph · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 33 mph · Humidity 93%

Latest for Falmouth: Met Office (UKMO model): 15° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 14° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Drizzle.

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Falmouth weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for South West England…

Falmouth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Falmouth swings 14°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to 5°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 997 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 5 frost nights, and rain on 168 days.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
5°C average low
Wettest month
December
997 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
32,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
5 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
168 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Falmouth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Falmouth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Falmouth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Falmouth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
17° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14° 9°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
14° 9°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
13° 7°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11° 4°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
10° 3°
±2°
Fri
Drizzle
12° 6°
models agree

Falmouth, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 5°C), with roughly 997 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Falmouth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Falmouth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
9°
5°
Feb
10°
5°
Mar
10°
5°
Apr
11°
6°
May
15°
9°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
19°
13°
Aug
19°
14°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
11°
7°
Dec
10°
7°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Falmouth has changed since 1995

Falmouth sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Redruth. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Redruth page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Falmouth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±1.4 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C90±3.1 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree13° to 13°±33%67% to 100% chance
Monmodels agree17° to 17°±12%88% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±31%69% to 100% chance
Wed±1°15° to 15°±30%3% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Falmouth

today, local time
Sunrise
07:57
Sunset
18:11
Daylight
10h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Falmouth today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Falmouth today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Falmouth today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Falmouth on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 67% (Met Office 67%, European 79%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Falmouth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Falmouth (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Met Office at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Falmouth?
July is typically the warmest month in Falmouth, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Falmouth get?
The coldest month in Falmouth is January, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Falmouth get?
Falmouth sees roughly 997 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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