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Edmonton weekend weather

This weekend in Edmonton, England, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 26° across the weekend. Agreement is medium — plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
23°
Partly cloudy
High 23°·Low 15°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
26°
Partly cloudy
High 26°·Low 15°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Cloudy
High 26°·Low 15°·Rain 3%

The models range from 23° to 26°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
26°
Cloudy
High 26°·Low 15°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Cloudy
High 28°·Low 15°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Cloudy
High 28°·Low 16°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree27° to 27°±11%17% to 28% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 26°±20%4% to 24% chance
Sat±4°23° to 26°±1%2% to 3% chance
Sun±2°26° to 28°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±2°26° to 28°±6%6% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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