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CheckWeather UKEarl Shilton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Earl Shilton weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Earl Shilton today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 35% chance of rain.

24°12°
20°15°
18°11°
17°11°
18°10°
20°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±2°
Met OfficeUKMO model
25°
Drizzle
Today 25°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Heavy drizzle
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain 62%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 12°·Rain 49%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Earl Shilton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
24° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
20°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
21° 15°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±4°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
18° 10°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
20°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
17° 11°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
18°
±5°

Earl Shilton is a small town of about 20,000 people in England, sitting at 52.6°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Earl Shilton with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Hinckley, Enderby, Narborough.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Earl Shilton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
89
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±1.1 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C90±3.1 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°24° to 25°±13%49% to 62% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±8%27% to 35% chance
Tue±1°17° to 18°±20%49% to 69% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±5%13% to 18% chance
Thu±1°17° to 18°±14%16% to 30% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Earl Shilton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
13h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Earl Shilton today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Earl Shilton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Earl Shilton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Earl Shilton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Earl Shilton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Earl Shilton (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the Met Office at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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