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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Dereham weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Dereham today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 11°, with a 33% chance of rain.

12°8°
11°7°
10°7°
11°6°
10°6°
10°5°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agreeSaturdaymodels agreeSundaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
8°
Overcast
Feels 6° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
7°
Mainly clear
Feels 4° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Overcast
Feels 5° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 70%

Latest for Dereham: Met Office (UKMO model): 8° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 7° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Overcast.

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Dereham weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East of England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East of England…

Dereham weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dereham swings 20°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to 1°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 698 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 14 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 27 frost nights, and rain on 133 days.

Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
698 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
19,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
14 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
27 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
133 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dereham’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Dereham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dereham hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dereham 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
10° 7°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
11° 6°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
10° 6°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
10° 5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
11° 4°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
11° 6°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
10° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
10° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
10° 8°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
11° 8°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
10° 6°
models agree

Dereham, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 698 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Dereham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Dereham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
12°
5°
May
15°
8°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
21°
12°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
15°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dereham has changed since 1995

Dereham sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Thetford. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Thetford page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dereham?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C98±0.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
92
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C95±1.5 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C93±2.3 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree12° to 12°±71%29% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree11° to 12°±29%4% to 33% chance
Thu±3°8° to 12°models agree0% to 0% chance
Frimodels agree11° to 11°±3%0% to 3% chance
Sat±1°10° to 11°±17%0% to 17% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dereham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:56
Sunset
16:22
Daylight
9h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dereham today?
Tuesday 3 November: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Dereham today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 11°, with a 33% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dereham today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Dereham on Wednesday 4 November: Met Office 33%, European 4%, American 16%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dereham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dereham (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Met Office at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dereham?
July is typically the warmest month in Dereham, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Dereham get?
The coldest month in Dereham is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Dereham get?
Dereham sees roughly 698 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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