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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Dartmoor weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Dartmoor today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 9°, with a 2% chance of rain.

11°6°
9°7°
9°7°
11°6°
11°5°
10°4°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±2°Saturdaymodels agreeSundaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Overcast
Feels 6° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 82%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Overcast
Feels 5° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
8°
Overcast
Feels 4° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 89%

Latest for Dartmoor: Met Office (UKMO model): 9° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 8° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 8° Overcast.

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Dartmoor weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for South West England…

Dartmoor weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dartmoor swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 3°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1485 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 7 days a year at 25°C or above, 12 frost nights, and rain on 191 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
December
1485 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
7 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
12 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
191 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dartmoor’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Dartmoor and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dartmoor hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dartmoor 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
9° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
9° 7°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
11° 6°
±2°
Sat
Fog
11° 5°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
10° 4°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
12° 9°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
10° 7°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
9° 5°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
8° 4°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
9° 6°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
10° 6°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
11° 4°
models agree

Dartmoor, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1485 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Dartmoor right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Dartmoor climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
3°
Feb
8°
3°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
5°
May
16°
9°
Jun
18°
11°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
14°
9°
Nov
10°
6°
Dec
8°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dartmoor has changed since 1995

Dartmoor sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Plymouth. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Plymouth page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dartmoor?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C93±2.2 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C91±2.9 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree11° to 11°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°±2%0% to 2% chance
Thu±2°8° to 10°±12%0% to 12% chance
Fri±2°10° to 12°±10%23% to 33% chance
Sat±2°10° to 12°±17%16% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dartmoor

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
16:48
Daylight
9h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dartmoor today?
Tuesday 3 November: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Dartmoor today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 9°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dartmoor today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Dartmoor on Wednesday 4 November: no model gives more than 2% (Met Office 0%, European 0%, American 2%). On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dartmoor?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dartmoor (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dartmoor?
August is typically the warmest month in Dartmoor, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Dartmoor get?
The coldest month in Dartmoor is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Dartmoor get?
Dartmoor sees roughly 1485 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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