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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Crowborough weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Crowborough today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 14°, with a 100% chance of rain.

15°5°
14°7°
15°7°
15°8°
14°7°
13°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
10°
Rain
Feels 7° · Wind 16 mph · Humidity 96%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Light rain
Feels 6° · Wind 16 mph · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 18 mph · Humidity 90%

Latest for Crowborough: Met Office (UKMO model): 10° Rain · European (ECMWF): 10° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Heavy drizzle.

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Crowborough weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

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Crowborough weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Crowborough swings 18°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to 1°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 890 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 11 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 34 frost nights, and rain on 139 days.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
890 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
22,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
11 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
34 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
139 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Crowborough’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Crowborough and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Crowborough hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Crowborough 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
15° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14° 7°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13° 7°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
11° 4°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
10° 4°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
12° 6°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
10° 4°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
7° 2°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree

Crowborough, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 890 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Crowborough right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Crowborough climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
1°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
12°
5°
May
15°
7°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
19°
13°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Crowborough has changed since 1995

Crowborough sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Brighton. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Brighton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Crowborough?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C91±2.7 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C95±1.5 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°11° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 15°±48%52% to 100% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±51%49% to 100% chance
Wed±1°14° to 14°±30%3% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Crowborough

today, local time
Sunrise
07:37
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
10h 11m

Common questions

What's the weather in Crowborough today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Crowborough today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 14°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Crowborough today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Crowborough on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Crowborough?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Crowborough (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Crowborough?
July is typically the warmest month in Crowborough, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Crowborough get?
The coldest month in Crowborough is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Crowborough get?
Crowborough sees roughly 890 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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