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CheckWeather UKCrawley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Crawley weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Crawley today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 39% chance of rain.

23°12°
23°16°
20°13°
20°10°
19°10°
22°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±2°
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 27%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Crawley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 16°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
20° 13°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
19° 10°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
21° 10°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 13°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 10°
±9°
Fri
Light rain
20° 12°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±5°

Crawley, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 951 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Crawley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Crawley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
20°
13°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Crawley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C96±1.2 mph9597% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
93
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C90±3.0 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°±19%8% to 27% chance
Tomorrow±4°21° to 25°±29%10% to 39% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±23%54% to 77% chance
Wed±2°19° to 20°±4%2% to 6% chance
Thu±4°17° to 21°±12%16% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Crawley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Crawley today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Crawley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Crawley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Crawley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Crawley?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Crawley (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the European at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Crawley?
June is typically the warmest month in Crawley, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Crawley get?
The coldest month in Crawley is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Crawley get?
Crawley sees roughly 951 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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