Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather UK›Chertsey
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Chertsey weather

Loading live data…

Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Chertsey today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°7°
13°8°
17°8°
16°10°
16°9°
13°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Light rain
Feels 9° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light rain
Feels 8° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Drizzle
Feels 7° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 90%

Latest for Chertsey: Met Office (UKMO model): 11° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 11° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Drizzle.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Chertsey weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Chertsey weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Chertsey swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 681 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 19 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 26 frost nights, and rain on 134 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
681 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
16,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
19 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
26 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
134 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Chertsey’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Chertsey and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Chertsey hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Chertsey 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
17° 8°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 9°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
15° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
13° 7°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
12° 6°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
13° 8°
±5°
Wed
Clear
11° 5°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
10° 3°
±3°

Chertsey, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 681 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Chertsey right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Chertsey climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
9°
2°
Mar
10°
4°
Apr
13°
6°
May
17°
8°
Jun
21°
10°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
15°
9°
Nov
11°
5°
Dec
8°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Chertsey has changed since 1995

Chertsey sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Slough. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Slough page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Chertsey?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
88
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C97±0.9 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C95±1.6 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°13° to 15°±100%0% to 100% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±23%77% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±59%41% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 16°±33%0% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chertsey

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
17:50
Daylight
10h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chertsey today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Chertsey today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Chertsey today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Chertsey on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 0%, European 76%, American 100%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chertsey?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chertsey (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chertsey?
August is typically the warmest month in Chertsey, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Chertsey get?
The coldest month in Chertsey is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Chertsey get?
Chertsey sees roughly 681 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More UK weather