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Caernarfon weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Caernarfon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Caernarfon, Wales is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1677 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Caernarfon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Caernarfon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
18°
13°
Aug
18°
13°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
14°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Caernarfon?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C94±1.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C93±2.2 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Caernarfon today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Caernarfon today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Caernarfon today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Caernarfon and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Caernarfon?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Caernarfon (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Caernarfon?
June is typically the warmest month in Caernarfon, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Caernarfon get?
The coldest month in Caernarfon is January, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Caernarfon get?
Caernarfon sees roughly 1677 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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