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CheckWeather UKBuxton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Buxton weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Buxton today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 17°, with a 82% chance of rain.

21°11°
17°13°
14°
14°
16°
16°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
21°
Drizzle
Today 21°·Low 11°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Drizzle
Today 20°·Low 11°·Rain 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 10°·Rain 40%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Buxton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
21° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Tue
Rain
14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
17°
±6°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
15°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
±5°

Buxton, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1273 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Buxton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Buxton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
10°
May
15°
Jun
17°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Buxton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C94±1.8 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
68±1.8°C93±2.2 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 21°±40%40% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±60%22% to 82% chance
Tuemodels agree14° to 14°±14%66% to 80% chance
Wed±2°14° to 15°±21%48% to 69% chance
Thu±1°15° to 16°models agree39% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Buxton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Buxton today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Buxton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Buxton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Buxton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Buxton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Buxton (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Buxton?
June is typically the warmest month in Buxton, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Buxton get?
The coldest month in Buxton is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Buxton get?
Buxton sees roughly 1273 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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