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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Blyth weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Blyth today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain.

12°5°
11°8°
16°7°
16°9°
13°9°
13°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
12°
Light rain
Today 12°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Heavy drizzle
Today 11°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Heavy drizzle
Today 12°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
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Blyth weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North East England…

Blyth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Blyth swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 2°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 687 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 22 frost nights, and rain on 155 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
687 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
37,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
86/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
22 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
155 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Blyth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Blyth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Blyth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Blyth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
12° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
13° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
12° 9°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
12° 8°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° 4°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
8° 3°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±4°

Blyth, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 687 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Blyth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Blyth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
3°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
11°
5°
May
14°
8°
Jun
16°
9°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
9°
5°
Dec
7°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Blyth has changed since 1995

Blyth sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sunderland. That square ran 0.3°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Sunderland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Blyth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±1.6 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C93±2.2 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C97±1.1 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 12°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 11°±58%42% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±13%87% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°±32%35% to 67% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±50%17% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Blyth

today, local time
Sunrise
07:53
Sunset
17:45
Daylight
9h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Blyth today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Blyth today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Blyth today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Blyth on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 100%, European 70%, American 42%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blyth?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Blyth (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blyth?
August is typically the warmest month in Blyth, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Blyth get?
The coldest month in Blyth is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Blyth get?
Blyth sees roughly 687 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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