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CheckWeather UKBlacon
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Blacon weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Blacon's high today between 22° and 25°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 19°, with a 84% chance of rain.

24°13°
19°15°
17°11°
16°12°
19°11°
17°14°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
25°
Light rain
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Drizzle
Today 22°·Low 13°·Rain 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 90%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Blacon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
24° 13°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light rain
19° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
17° 14°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
19°
±4°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
20° 15°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±5°
Tue
Light rain
17° 13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 10°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
17°
±7°

Blacon, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1173 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Blacon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Blacon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
20°
13°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Blacon?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C94±1.9 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
87
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±1.3 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
86
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C97±0.9 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 25°±8%82% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±52%32% to 84% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±18%58% to 76% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±12%53% to 65% chance
Thu±1°18° to 19°±2%37% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Blacon

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:49
Daylight
13h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Blacon today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Blacon today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Blacon today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Blacon and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blacon?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Blacon (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blacon?
June is typically the warmest month in Blacon, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Blacon get?
The coldest month in Blacon is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Blacon get?
Blacon sees roughly 1173 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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