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CheckWeather UKBlackburn
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Blackburn weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Blackburn's high today between 20° and 23°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 18°, with a 90% chance of rain.

22°12°
18°14°
14°11°
16°10°
17°10°
16°11°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 85%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Drizzle
Feels 16° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Overcast
Feels 15° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 85%

Latest for Blackburn: Met Office (UKMO model): 18° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 16° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Blackburn and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light rain
18° 14°
models agree
Tue
Rain
14° 11°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
17°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
17° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
16° 10°
±5°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
17°
±8°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
15°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
15°
±4°

Blackburn, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1595 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Blackburn right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Blackburn climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
12°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Blackburn?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
71±1.6°C97±0.9 mph9597% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C88±3.6 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 23°±2%72% to 74% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°±38%52% to 90% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±19%77% to 96% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±3%55% to 58% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°models agree50% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Blackburn

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Blackburn today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Blackburn today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Blackburn today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Blackburn and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blackburn?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Blackburn (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blackburn?
June is typically the warmest month in Blackburn, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Blackburn get?
The coldest month in Blackburn is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Blackburn get?
Blackburn sees roughly 1595 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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