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Bebington weekend weather

This weekend in Bebington, England, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 20° across the weekend. Agreement is high — unusually solid for this far out.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Drizzle
High 18°·Low 13°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
High 18°·Low 12°·Rain 13%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light drizzle
High 17°·Low 14°·Rain 1%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Light drizzle
High 22°·Low 14°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
High 22°·Low 11°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
High 21°·Low 12°·Rain 1%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±15%27% to 42% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 19°±38%3% to 41% chance
Sat±2°17° to 18°±12%1% to 13% chance
Sun±1°21° to 22°±5%1% to 6% chance
Mon±4°23° to 27°±40%10% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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