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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Bathgate weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Bathgate today. Tomorrow: rain, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain.

10°3°
9°6°
14°6°
15°7°
11°7°
12°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Rain
Feels 2° · Wind 24 mph · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Rain
Feels 3° · Wind 18 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Rain
Feels 2° · Wind 23 mph · Humidity 87%

Latest for Bathgate: Met Office (UKMO model): 9° Rain · European (ECMWF): 8° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Rain.

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Bathgate weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Dumfries, Galloway, Lothian & Borders

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Dumfries, Galloway, Lothian & Borders…

Bathgate weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Bathgate swings 16°C across the year, from 17°C highs in July to 1°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 962 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 42 frost nights, and rain on 183 days.

Warmest month
July
17°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
962 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
24,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
42 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
183 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Bathgate’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Bathgate and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bathgate hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bathgate 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
10° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
9° 6°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
14° 6°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12° 7°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
11° 6°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
10° 7°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 3°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
6° 1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
7° 1°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
5° 0°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
6° 0°
±5°

Bathgate, Scotland is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 962 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Bathgate right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Bathgate climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
6°
1°
Mar
8°
2°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
6°
Jun
16°
9°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
15°
9°
Oct
11°
6°
Nov
8°
3°
Dec
5°
1°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Bathgate has changed since 1995

Bathgate sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Livingston. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Livingston page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bathgate?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C94±2.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
95±0.3°C94±1.9 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C96±1.2 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 11°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°8° to 9°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±1%99% to 100% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±19%81% to 100% chance
Wed±2°10° to 12°±51%49% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bathgate

today, local time
Sunrise
08:04
Sunset
17:52
Daylight
9h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bathgate today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Bathgate today. Tomorrow: rain, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bathgate today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Bathgate on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bathgate?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bathgate (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bathgate?
July is typically the warmest month in Bathgate, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Bathgate get?
The coldest month in Bathgate is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Bathgate get?
Bathgate sees roughly 962 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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