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Barrow in Furness weekend weather

This weekend in Barrow in Furness, England, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 16° across the weekend. Agreement is medium - plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day. Rain chance reaches 96% on at least one model.

Today

2026-09-19 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Drizzle
High 17°·Low 15°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
High 16°·Low 14°·Rain 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Drizzle
High 17°·Low 14°·Rain 92%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Tomorrow

2026-09-20 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Cloudy
High 16°·Low 14°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
High 15°·Low 13°·Rain 41%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
High 15°·Low 13°·Rain 6%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±4%92% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±35%6% to 41% chance
Mon±1°17° to 17°±15%52% to 67% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±70%10% to 80% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±35%32% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
At least one model puts the weekend rain chance as high as 96%. Weekend forecasts sit far enough ahead that models frequently disagree on showers - when they do, no single app can honestly tell you it will or will not rain.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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